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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is By June 30, 2027 at 11.5%, followed by By December 31, 2026 at 4.1%, By September 30, 2026 at 0.2%. The market has $25.40M in total volume and $60.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By June 30, 2027 | 11.5% | — | $476.4K |
| By December 31, 2026 | 4.1% | +0.1 pts | $22.01M |
| By September 30, 2026 | 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.56M |
| By August 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $1.08M |
| By July 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $274.7K |
Total volume $25.40M · 24h volume $60.9K · Liquidity $1.05M. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By June 30, 2027 ■ By December 31, 2026 ■ By September 30, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Russia–Ukraine War odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is By June 30, 2027 at 11.5%, followed by By December 31, 2026 at 4.1%, By September 30, 2026 at 0.2%. The market has $25.40M in total volume and $60.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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