Home › Polymarket odds › Geopolitics & World
Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Geopolitics & World · Market end date: October 14, 2026
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is 0.9% to 1.0% at 42.5%, followed by 0.7% to 0.8% at 31%, 1.1%+ at 25.1%. The market has $25.4K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9% to 1.0% | 42.5% | — | $11.3K |
| 0.7% to 0.8% | 31% | -12.5 pts | $11.4K |
| 1.1%+ | 25.1% | +19.7 pts | $1.4K |
| 0.5% to 0.6% | 5.0% | -7.7 pts | $617 |
| ≤0.4% | 1.6% | -0.7 pts | $617 |
Total volume $25.4K · 24h volume $1.3K · Liquidity $3.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 0.9% to 1.0% ■ 0.7% to 0.8% ■ 1.1%+ · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: China & Taiwan odds · Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is 0.9% to 1.0% at 42.5%, followed by 0.7% to 0.8% at 31%, 1.1%+ at 25.1%. The market has $25.4K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 14, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/september-inflation-china-annual/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="September Inflation China - Annual odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/september-inflation-china-annual/">September Inflation China - Annual odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/september-inflation-china-annual.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “September Inflation China - Annual — Polymarket odds”, September 26, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/september-inflation-china-annual/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/september-inflation-china-annual/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/september-inflation-china-annual/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/september-inflation-china-annual.svg" alt="September Inflation China - Annual odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog