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Resolved market · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: November 1, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on the outcome listed as settled below, after $94.3K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By August 31 | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $60.1K |
| By October 31 | 0.0% | -1.5 pts | $34.1K |
Total volume $94.3K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By October 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Situational Awareness or Situational Awareness LP announces, or a consensus of credible reporting confirms, that it has received new outside investor capital by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Capital from existing investors and capital from new investors will both qualify. Capital contributed by Situational Awareness, its principals, or its employees will not qualify.
Only capital actually contributed will qualify. Announcements of plans to raise, soft commitments, and signed subscriptions not yet funded will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Situational Awareness, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on the outcome listed as settled below, after $94.3K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is November 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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