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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 79.5%, followed by September 30 at 18%. The market has $1.02M in total volume and $4.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 79.5% | -3.5 pts | $271.5K |
| September 30 | 18% | -9.0 pts | $645.6K |
| June 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $101.0K |
Total volume $1.02M · 24h volume $4.6K · Liquidity $38.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ December 31 ■ September 30 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the STRC “High” values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
If, on the listed date at 11:59 PM ET, price data is unavailable from TradingView for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and MarketWatch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is December 31 at 79.5%, followed by September 30 at 18%. The market has $1.02M in total volume and $4.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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