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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: February 15, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 9.5%. The market has $1.85M in total volume and $53 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2026 | 9.5% | — | $87.7K |
| By December 31, 2025 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $982.7K |
| By June 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $296.5K |
| By March 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | +0.1 pts | $269.1K |
| By August 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $210.9K |
Total volume $1.85M · 24h volume $53 · Liquidity $15.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place in 2025 or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Russia–Ukraine War odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 9.5%. The market has $1.85M in total volume and $53 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is February 15, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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