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Polymarket week in review: November 2 – November 8, 2026

Updating through Sunday · last update November 7, 00:50 UTC

Polymarket in the week of November 2 – November 8, 2026 (so far): the biggest move was TN-04 House Election Winner — Victoria Broderick (D) 1.8% → 96% (+94.2 points). 58 new markets opened in the seven days to November 7.

Biggest risers

Market	Outcome	7 days before	Price	Change
TN-04 House Election Winner	Victoria Broderick (D)	1.8%	96%	+94.2 pts
AL-03 House Election Margin of Victory	Republican 25-30%	3.7%	96.5%	+92.8 pts
Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory	Hinojosa 6%+	4.7%	95.9%	+91.2 pts
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory	Talarico 12%+	3.5%	93.2%	+89.8 pts
NJ-05 House Election Margin of Victory	Democrat 25-30%	7.6%	97.3%	+89.6 pts
Closest Senate Race?	Mississippi	3.9%	93.3%	+89.5 pts
NC-02 House Election Margin of Victory	Democrat 50-55%	6.4%	95.7%	+89.3 pts
TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory	Republican 0-5%	9.0%	97.8%	+88.8 pts
South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory	Republican 25-30%	5.3%	94%	+88.6 pts
TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory	Republican 5-10%	6.0%	94.4%	+88.3 pts

Biggest fallers

Market	Outcome	7 days before	Price	Change
Which party will win white voters in the midterms?	Republicans	94%	0.2%	-93.8 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group C Winner	Iran	82.5%	1.4%	-81.2 pts
NC-05 House Election Winner	Virginia Foxx (R)	82%	2.9%	-79.0 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group D Winner	Australia	78%	3.4%	-74.6 pts
Kansas Governor Election Winner	Ty Masterson (R)	71.5%	0.6%	-70.9 pts
USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM?	By November 15	74%	4.8%	-69.2 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group F Winner	Japan	75.5%	6.5%	-69.0 pts
NFL: Lamar Jackson 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Yards	2,749.5+ passing yards	74%	6.5%	-67.5 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group E Winner	South Korea	68%	1.4%	-66.7 pts
AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group A Winner	Saudi Arabia	63%	2.2%	-60.8 pts

New markets

→ US-Iran effective ceasefire continues? Through November 5 99.7%
→ Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State? By March 31, 2027 26%
→ Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon? By November 16 94.4%
→ "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office 18m-20m 45.5%
→ GPT Astra 6.1+ released? November 12 34.1%
→ "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office 9m+ 91.5%
→ IEM Beijing 2026: Winner MOUZ 52.5%
→ PGL Major Singapore 2026: Winner Vitality 25%
→ Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory Colom 0.6-0.9% 63%
→ "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office 6m+ 93.2%
→ ATP Tennis: Paris, France Winner Carlos Alcaraz 65.5%
→ Paraguay Presidential Election Winner Miguel Prieto 19.5%
→ Israel military action against Lebanon? November 9 87.5%
→ Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit __ by December 31? ↑ 70% 12%
→ How many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot? 255-259 31.5%

Moves compare the price at the last update with the chart point closest to seven days earlier, across the most-traded long-running markets we track. Live versions: this week's biggest moves and new markets.

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