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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 1, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on TikTok / ByteDance, NVIDIA, Meta, Dell, Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz, Intel, Google / Alphabet, Visa, Eli Lilly, Honda, Exxon / ExxonMobil, after $37.2K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| TikTok / ByteDance | 100% | +2.9 pts | $4.4K |
| NVIDIA | 100% | +35.4 pts | $4.1K |
| Meta | 100% | +66.5 pts | $3.3K |
| Dell | 100% | +14.4 pts | $2.0K |
| Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz | 100% | +5.4 pts | $1.7K |
| Intel | 100% | +29.6 pts | $1.6K |
| Google / Alphabet | 100% | +4.0 pts | $1.1K |
| Visa | 100% | +53.4 pts | $1.0K |
| Eli Lilly | 100% | +50.0 pts | $872 |
| Honda | 100% | +48.4 pts | $758 |
| Exxon / ExxonMobil | 100% | +43.0 pts | $526 |
| Discord | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $2.6K |
| Citibank | 0.0% | -9.0 pts | $2.2K |
| Hyperliquid | 0.0% | +1.8 pts | $2.2K |
| Boeing | 0.0% | -2.5 pts | $1.5K |
11 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $37.2K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on TikTok / ByteDance, NVIDIA, Meta, Dell, Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz, Intel, Google / Alphabet, Visa, Eli Lilly, Honda, Exxon / ExxonMobil, after $37.2K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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