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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 1, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Boeing at 67%, followed by Walmart at 41%, NVIDIA at 32.5%. The market has $25.8K in total volume and $493 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| TikTok / ByteDance (settled) | 100% | +2.9 pts | $4.4K |
| Dell (settled) | 100% | +14.4 pts | $2.0K |
| Mercedes / Mercedes-Benz (settled) | 100% | +5.4 pts | $1.7K |
| Intel (settled) | 100% | +29.6 pts | $1.6K |
| Google / Alphabet (settled) | 100% | +4.0 pts | $1.1K |
| Visa (settled) | 100% | +53.4 pts | $1.0K |
| Eli Lilly (settled) | 100% | +50.0 pts | $872 |
| Honda (settled) | 100% | +48.4 pts | $758 |
| Exxon / ExxonMobil (settled) | 100% | +43.0 pts | $526 |
| Boeing | 67% | +5.5 pts | $1.2K |
| Walmart | 41% | -8.5 pts | $206 |
| NVIDIA | 32.5% | -33.5 pts | $1.1K |
| Citibank | 31.1% | +2.6 pts | $738 |
| Meta | 26% | -15.5 pts | $1.4K |
| Flock | 25.5% | -1.0 pts | $158 |
11 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $25.8K · 24h volume $493 · Liquidity $2.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Boeing ■ Walmart ■ NVIDIA · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Boeing at 67%, followed by Walmart at 41%, NVIDIA at 32.5%. The market has $25.8K in total volume and $493 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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