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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 1, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ $148 at 66%, followed by ↑ $164 at 52%, ↑ $172 at 50.5%. The market has $49.2K in total volume and $1.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $160 (settled) | 100% | +78.5 pts | $6.3K |
| ↓ $164 (settled) | 100% | +20.4 pts | $3.7K |
| ↑ $168 (settled) | 100% | +8.9 pts | $3.5K |
| ↓ $156 (settled) | 100% | +92.5 pts | $3.2K |
| ↓ $176 (settled) | 100% | +24.4 pts | $2.5K |
| ↓ $172 (settled) | 100% | +44.0 pts | $1.3K |
| ↓ $180 (settled) | 100% | +15.4 pts | $933 |
| ↑ $184 (settled) | 100% | +18.4 pts | $905 |
| ↓ $168 (settled) | 100% | +32.5 pts | $870 |
| ↓ $188 (settled) | 100% | +49.5 pts | $663 |
| ↓ $152 (settled) | 100% | +87.5 pts | $593 |
| ↓ $184 (settled) | 100% | — | $445 |
| ↓ $168 (settled) | 100% | — | $437 |
| ↓ $152 (settled) | 100% | — | $435 |
| ↓ $168 (settled) | 100% | — | $406 |
24 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $49.2K · 24h volume $1.9K · Liquidity $10.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ ↓ $148 ■ ↑ $164 ■ ↑ $172 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in September 2026?
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is ↓ $148 at 66%, followed by ↑ $164 at 52%, ↑ $172 at 50.5%. The market has $49.2K in total volume and $1.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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