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What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December? — Polymarket Odds

Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2027

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ $5,000 at 30%, followed by ↓ $3,500 at 14%, ↑ $6,000 at 8.5%. The market has $1.73M in total volume and $6.9K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
↑ $5,00030%
-2.0 pts$62.6K
↓ $3,50014%
+0.5 pts$19.1K
↑ $6,0008.5%
$1.13M
↓ $3,0006.7%
+0.9 pts$5.6K
↑ $7,0005.5%
$171.2K
↓ $2,5003.9%
-0.1 pts$872
↑ $8,0003.0%
-0.1 pts$66.0K
↑ $12,0001.5%
$70.2K
↑ $10,0001.4%
-0.1 pts$94.8K
↑ $15,0000.7%
$107.9K

Total volume $1.73M · 24h volume $6.9K · Liquidity $440.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 24Sep 23

↑ $5,000 ↓ $3,500 ↑ $6,000 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.

The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures. If the official settlement price for any relevant trading day has not been published on the CME Group website within 72 hours of the final trading day (ET) of the specified period, the market will resolve based on the settlement prices published through all CME channels up to that point.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is ↑ $5,000 at 30%, followed by ↓ $3,500 at 14%, ↑ $6,000 at 8.5%. The market has $1.73M in total volume and $6.9K in the last 24 hours.

When does the What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December market end?

The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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Polymarket View, “What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December? — Polymarket odds”, September 23, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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