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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 11, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is $1.125M - $1.161M at 33%, followed by $1.161M - $1.196M at 29.8%, $1.089M - $1.125M at 22.5%. The market has $87.8K in total volume and $2.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1.125M - $1.161M | 33% | +10.3 pts | $20.8K |
| $1.161M - $1.196M | 29.8% | -38.6 pts | $5.4K |
| $1.089M - $1.125M | 22.5% | +15.0 pts | $38.3K |
| $1.196M+ | 4.5% | -0.1 pts | $3.9K |
| <$1.017M | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $2.6K |
| $1.017M - $1.053M | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $4.1K |
| $1.053M - $1.089M | 0.2% | — | $12.8K |
Total volume $87.8K · 24h volume $2.2K · Liquidity $6.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ $1.125M - $1.161M ■ $1.161M - $1.196M ■ $1.089M - $1.125M · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: US Economy odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is $1.125M - $1.161M at 33%, followed by $1.161M - $1.196M at 29.8%, $1.089M - $1.125M at 22.5%. The market has $87.8K in total volume and $2.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 11, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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