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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: September 30, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Through the Roof, Dancing in the Street, Slob, American Dream, Ass, Barack Hussein Obama, Who Are You With / Where Are You From, Six Seven, Central Casting, No No No, Shit, Teleprompter, Pelosi, Antifa, Soaking Wet, Future President, after $58.2K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Through the Roof | 100% | +2.9 pts | $9.2K |
| Dancing in the Street | 100% | +0.5 pts | $5.7K |
| Slob | 100% | +43.0 pts | $3.2K |
| American Dream | 100% | +8.9 pts | $3.0K |
| Ass | 100% | +35.9 pts | $2.8K |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 100% | +9.5 pts | $2.7K |
| Who Are You With / Where Are You From | 100% | +12.2 pts | $2.7K |
| Six Seven | 100% | +43.0 pts | $1.8K |
| Central Casting | 100% | +46.0 pts | $1.5K |
| No No No | 100% | +17.9 pts | $1.5K |
| Shit | 100% | +43.0 pts | $1.1K |
| Teleprompter | 100% | +30.9 pts | $1.0K |
| Pelosi | 100% | +10.5 pts | $933 |
| Antifa | 100% | +56.1 pts | $537 |
| Soaking Wet | 100% | +50.5 pts | $292 |
13 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $58.2K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 9, 2026 at 00:50 UTC) it had settled on Through the Roof, Dancing in the Street, Slob, American Dream, Ass, Barack Hussein Obama, Who Are You With / Where Are You From, Six Seven, Central Casting, No No No, Shit, Teleprompter, Pelosi, Antifa, Soaking Wet, Future President, after $58.2K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is September 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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