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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: September 30, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Dancing in the Street at 92%, followed by Trump Derangement Syndrome at 53.5%, Predict / Prediction at 28.5%. The market has $49.2K in total volume and $2.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Through the Roof (settled) | 100% | +2.9 pts | $9.2K |
| Slob (settled) | 100% | +43.0 pts | $3.2K |
| American Dream (settled) | 100% | +8.9 pts | $3.0K |
| Ass (settled) | 100% | +35.9 pts | $2.8K |
| Barack Hussein Obama (settled) | 100% | +9.5 pts | $2.7K |
| Who Are You With / Where Are You From (settled) | 100% | +12.2 pts | $2.7K |
| Six Seven (settled) | 100% | +43.0 pts | $1.8K |
| Central Casting (settled) | 100% | +46.0 pts | $1.5K |
| No No No (settled) | 100% | +17.9 pts | $1.5K |
| Shit (settled) | 100% | +43.0 pts | $1.1K |
| Teleprompter (settled) | 100% | +30.9 pts | $1.0K |
| Pelosi (settled) | 100% | +10.5 pts | $933 |
| Antifa (settled) | 100% | +56.1 pts | $537 |
| Soaking Wet (settled) | 100% | +50.5 pts | $292 |
| Future President (settled) | 100% | +46.5 pts | $183 |
13 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $49.2K · 24h volume $2.7K · Liquidity $3.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Dancing in the Street ■ Trump Derangement Syndrome ■ Predict / Prediction · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Dancing in the Street at 92%, followed by Trump Derangement Syndrome at 53.5%, Predict / Prediction at 28.5%. The market has $49.2K in total volume and $2.7K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is September 30, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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