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Updated September 30, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of September 30, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is No meeting by December 31, 2027 at 74%, followed by Turkey at 7.0%, Italy at 5.2%. The market has $70.3K in total volume and $70.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| No meeting by December 31, 2027 | 74% | +12.0 pts | $7.4K |
| Turkey | 7.0% | -15.5 pts | $614 |
| Italy | 5.2% | -17.3 pts | $408 |
| Germany | 4.7% | -17.8 pts | $52.5K |
| Switzerland | 4.7% | -17.3 pts | $408 |
| Other - Middle East/North Africa | 4.5% | -18.1 pts | $388 |
| Finland | 4.4% | -18.1 pts | $408 |
| Vatican City | 4.3% | -18.1 pts | $408 |
| Other - Europe | 4.3% | -18.1 pts | $408 |
| Brazil | 4.2% | -18.3 pts | $253 |
| South Africa | 4.2% | -18.4 pts | $409 |
| Serbia | 4.2% | -18.4 pts | $408 |
| Slovakia | 4.2% | -18.4 pts | $408 |
| Poland | 4.2% | -18.4 pts | $405 |
| Azerbaijan | 4.2% | -18.3 pts | $253 |
14 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $70.3K · 24h volume $70.3K · Liquidity $268.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ No meeting by December 31, 2027 ■ Turkey ■ Italy · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31, 2027" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Zelenskyy are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. A meeting held in Vatican City will resolve to "Vatican City," not "Italy."
If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Europe." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Middle East/North Africa." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to "Other."
For purposes of this market, countries' regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department's regional classifications in the "Countries and Areas List" (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of "Europe and Eurasia" will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of "Near East (Middle East and North Africa)" will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Russia–Ukraine War odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 30, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is No meeting by December 31, 2027 at 74%, followed by Turkey at 7.0%, Italy at 5.2%. The market has $70.3K in total volume and $70.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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