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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: January 2, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Taylor Swift at 58.5%, followed by Jay Z at 50%, Lil Uzi Vert at 48%. The market has $244.8K in total volume and $11.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kanye West (settled) | 100% | -0.4 pts | $79.6K |
| A$AP Rocky (settled) | 100% | +0.3 pts | $25.2K |
| Drake (settled) | 100% | +0.9 pts | $18.0K |
| Olivia Rodrigo (settled) | 100% | +0.1 pts | $15.5K |
| Future (settled) | 100% | +3.0 pts | $1.4K |
| Nettspend (settled) | 100% | -0.4 pts | — |
| Harry Styles (settled) | 100% | — | — |
| Luke Combs (settled) | 100% | +0.1 pts | — |
| Taylor Swift | 58.5% | -26.0 pts | $13.1K |
| Jay Z | 50% | +2.0 pts | $2.0K |
| Lil Uzi Vert | 48% | +12.0 pts | $8.8K |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 48% | +20.5 pts | $208 |
| Lana Del Rey | 47% | +11.5 pts | $8.9K |
| Bad Bunny | 42.5% | +15.5 pts | $6.0K |
| Kendrick Lamar | 39% | -0.5 pts | $33.0K |
8 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $244.8K · 24h volume $11.2K · Liquidity $4.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Taylor Swift ■ Jay Z ■ Lil Uzi Vert · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Pop Culture odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Taylor Swift at 58.5%, followed by Jay Z at 50%, Lil Uzi Vert at 48%. The market has $244.8K in total volume and $11.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 2, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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