Home › Polymarket odds › Tech & AI
Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Tech & AI · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Las Vegas, NV at 85.5%, followed by Tampa, FL at 78.3%, San Diego, CA at 70.5%. The market has $42.4K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas, NV | 85.5% | — | $4.8K |
| Tampa, FL | 78.3% | -2.1 pts | $2.9K |
| San Diego, CA | 70.5% | -14.5 pts | $4.7K |
| Denver, CO | 65.5% | -11.5 pts | $6.8K |
| Philadelphia, PA | 46% | +1.5 pts | $164 |
| St. Louis, MO | 24% | +9.0 pts | $56 |
| Sacramento, CA | 23.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.4K |
| Chicago, IL | 22.5% | -15.0 pts | $894 |
| Charlotte, NC | 13% | -5.0 pts | $498 |
| Detroit, MI | 10.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.1K |
| New Orleans, LA | 9.0% | — | $849 |
| Washington, DC | 7.5% | — | $1.6K |
| Pittsburgh, PA | 7.5% | +1.0 pts | $892 |
| Seattle, WA | 7.5% | -1.5 pts | $633 |
| New York, NY | 7.0% | -1.5 pts | $1.8K |
6 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $42.4K · 24h volume $1.6K · Liquidity $10.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Las Vegas, NV ■ Tampa, FL ■ San Diego, CA · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: AI odds · Big Tech odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is Las Vegas, NV at 85.5%, followed by Tampa, FL at 78.3%, San Diego, CA at 70.5%. The market has $42.4K in total volume and $1.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31/">Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31? — Polymarket odds”, September 26, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-december-31.svg" alt="Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog