Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated October 11, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 3, 2026
As of October 11, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alaska at 97.7%, followed by Iowa at 97.5%, Michigan at 97.4%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $644 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas (settled) | 100% | +2.4 pts | $1.8K |
| Ohio (settled) | 100% | +0.4 pts | $1.7K |
| Alaska | 97.7% | — | $1.5K |
| Iowa | 97.5% | +0.1 pts | $787 |
| Michigan | 97.4% | +0.2 pts | $2.0K |
| Nevada | 97.2% | -0.2 pts | $662 |
| North Carolina | 94.7% | -0.2 pts | $3.0K |
| Georgia | 94.5% | — | $809 |
| Arizona | 93% | — | $948 |
| Wisconsin | 76% | +5.5 pts | $1.0K |
| Kansas | 74.5% | -4.0 pts | $2.7K |
| Maine | 60.5% | +4.5 pts | $842 |
| New Hampshire | 31.5% | +4.0 pts | $2.5K |
| Oregon | 10% | -3.5 pts | $347 |
Total volume $20.6K · 24h volume $644 · Liquidity $8.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alaska ■ Iowa ■ Michigan · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the listed US state between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · 2026 Midterms odds · Politics odds
As of October 11, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Alaska at 97.7%, followed by Iowa at 97.5%, Michigan at 97.4%. The market has $20.6K in total volume and $644 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 3, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Which states will Trump visit before the midterms? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms/">Which states will Trump visit before the midterms? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Which states will Trump visit before the midterms? — Polymarket odds”, October 11, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms.svg" alt="Which states will Trump visit before the midterms? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog