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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Max Martin at 13.5%. The market has $1.40M in total volume and $12 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brittany Mahomes (settled) | 100% | +10.4 pts | $123.6K |
| Selena Gomez (settled) | 100% | +6.9 pts | $112.0K |
| Alana Haim (settled) | 100% | +9.6 pts | $111.7K |
| Sabrina Carpenter (settled) | 100% | +6.0 pts | $108.0K |
| Jack Antonoff (settled) | 100% | +5.9 pts | $94.9K |
| Patrick Mahomes (settled) | 100% | +13.2 pts | $88.3K |
| Este Haim (settled) | 100% | +6.5 pts | $78.6K |
| Danielle Haim (settled) | 100% | +10.5 pts | $71.4K |
| Gracie Abrams (settled) | 100% | +13.6 pts | $47.6K |
| Max Martin | 13.5% | +0.1 pts | $181.4K |
| Blake Lively (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $125.5K |
| Lana Del Rey (settled) | 0.0% | -7.0 pts | $110.7K |
| Jared Goff (settled) | 0.0% | — | $76.3K |
| Phoebe Bridgers (settled) | 0.0% | -8.2 pts | $33.8K |
| Andrew Tate (settled) | 0.0% | -0.7 pts | $26.2K |
1 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $1.40M · 24h volume $12 · Liquidity $1.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Max Martin · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.
If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Max Martin at 13.5%. The market has $1.40M in total volume and $12 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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