Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated October 5, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: September 24, 2028
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Anthony Albanese at 41.5%, followed by Pauline Hanson at 23.5%, Angus Taylor at 15.5%. The market has $32.2K in total volume and $406 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Albanese | 41.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.7K |
| Pauline Hanson | 23.5% | -0.5 pts | $24.9K |
| Angus Taylor | 15.5% | — | $2.7K |
| Jim Chalmers | 6.0% | — | $1.0K |
| Robbie Katter | 1.1% | — | $391 |
| Larissa Waters | 0.5% | — | $491 |
Total volume $32.2K · 24h volume $406 · Liquidity $105.8K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Anthony Albanese ■ Pauline Hanson ■ Angus Taylor · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Anthony Albanese at 41.5%, followed by Pauline Hanson at 23.5%, Angus Taylor at 15.5%. The market has $32.2K in total volume and $406 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is September 24, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/">Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? — Polymarket odds”, October 5, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election.svg" alt="Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog