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Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? — Polymarket Odds

Updated September 25, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027

As of September 25, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 14.8% (No 85.2%), with $34.4K traded in total and $17.9K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeProbability24h changeVolume
Yes14.8%
-31.0 pts$34.4K
No85.2%
+31.0 pts—

Total volume $34.4K · 24h volume $17.9K · Liquidity $3.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.

30-day price history

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 25Sep 25

■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.

Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.

Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

As of September 25, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 14.8% (No 85.2%), with $34.4K traded in total and $17.9K in the last 24 hours.

When does the Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31 market end?

The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.

How are these odds calculated?

They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.

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