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Resolved market · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
This market has closed. At the last update (November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on By October 31, By December 31, after $6.87M of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By October 31 | 100% | +89.0 pts | $190.7K |
| By December 31 | 100% | +67.0 pts | $169.1K |
| By January 31 | 0.0% | -1.0 pts | $2.57M |
| By March 31 | 0.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.01M |
| By April 30 | 0.0% | -0.7 pts | $733.4K |
| By June 30 | 0.0% | -2.5 pts | $314.5K |
| By July 31 | 0.0% | -0.6 pts | $297.7K |
| By January 9 | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $264.5K |
| By May 31 | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $200.2K |
| By September 30 | 0.0% | -1.2 pts | $87.9K |
| By October 15 | 0.0% | -0.8 pts | $20.8K |
| By August 31 | 0.0% | -0.4 pts | $10.7K |
| By March 8 | 0.0% | — | — |
Total volume $6.87M · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By October 31 ■ By December 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Venezuela odds · Politics odds
This market has closed. At the last update (November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on By October 31, By December 31, after $6.87M of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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