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Updated October 16, 2026 · Category: Tech & AI · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 8.8% (No 91.2%), with $20.9K traded in total and $349 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8.8% | -0.8 pts | $20.9K |
| No | 91.2% | +0.8 pts | — |
Total volume $20.9K · 24h volume $349 · Liquidity $5.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially changes its name to "OpenSI" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying name change requires OpenAI to adopt "OpenSI" as the official name of the company. Stylizations of the same name, such as "Open SI" or "OpenSI" followed by a corporate suffix (e.g., "OpenSI Group PBC"), will qualify. Renaming either OpenAI's operating company (OpenAI Group PBC) or its nonprofit parent (the OpenAI Foundation) to a name meeting these criteria will qualify.
An official announcement by OpenAI within this market's timeframe that the company is changing its name to "OpenSI" will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
Statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest in renaming the company will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that the name change has been or will be adopted. Renaming any OpenAI product, model, division, subsidiary, or program (e.g., ChatGPT), without renaming the company itself, will not qualify. Changes to OpenAI's listed name caused by hacks will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI or its representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: AI odds · OpenAI odds
As of October 16, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 8.8% (No 91.2%), with $20.9K traded in total and $349 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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