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Updated October 5, 2026 · Category: Tech & AI · Market end date: November 1, 2026
As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By October 31 at 34.5%, followed by By October 15 at 21%. The market has $33.4K in total volume and $33.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By October 31 | 34.5% | — | $12.8K |
| By October 15 | 21% | — | $20.6K |
Total volume $33.4K · 24h volume $33.4K · Liquidity $8.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By October 31 ■ By October 15 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI officially changes its name to "SpaceXSI", "XSI", or another qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying name is one that refers to intelligence as "SI" in place of "AI" (e.g., "SpaceXSI", "SpaceX SI", "XSI"). Stylizations of a qualifying name, or a qualifying name followed by a corporate suffix, will qualify. Renaming either SpaceXAI or its parent company, SpaceX, to a qualifying name will qualify.
SpaceXAI must announce that they have officially changed to a qualifying name by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements of future intention will not qualify. An official announcement that the name change has been adopted will qualify even if the company's website, documents, or other materials have not yet been updated. Adopting a qualifying name as the company's name on its official website will also qualify.
Statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest in renaming the company will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that the name change has been adopted. Renaming any SpaceXAI or SpaceX product, model, division, subsidiary, or program (e.g., Grok, X), without renaming the company itself, will not qualify. Changes to SpaceXAI's listed name caused by hacks will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, SpaceX, or their representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By October 31 at 34.5%, followed by By October 15 at 21%. The market has $33.4K in total volume and $33.4K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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