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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2027 at 70.5%, followed by By June 30, 2027 at 43%, By December 31, 2026 at 1.6%. The market has $1.03M in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2027 | 70.5% | -10.0 pts | $846 |
| By June 30, 2027 | 43% | -3.5 pts | $74 |
| By December 31, 2026 | 1.6% | +0.3 pts | $1.03M |
Total volume $1.03M · 24h volume $1.3K · Liquidity $100.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2027 ■ By June 30, 2027 ■ By December 31, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2027 at 70.5%, followed by By June 30, 2027 at 43%, By December 31, 2026 at 1.6%. The market has $1.03M in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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