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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 6.2%. The market has $161.4K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31 | 6.2% | -1.1 pts | $130.2K |
| By June 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.3 pts | $31.2K |
Total volume $161.4K · 24h volume $1.3K · Liquidity $7.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Trump odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 6.2%. The market has $161.4K in total volume and $1.3K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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