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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Geopolitics & World · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 4.5% (No 95.5%), with $13.88M traded in total and $69.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.5% | +0.2 pts | $13.88M |
| No | 95.5% | -0.2 pts | — |
Total volume $13.88M · 24h volume $69.0K · Liquidity $532.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 4.5% (No 95.5%), with $13.88M traded in total and $69.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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