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How to cite Polymarket odds

Updated September 25, 2026 · numbers refresh automatically from this site's data

Quote a Polymarket price as the chance traders put on an outcome at a stated time, name Polymarket as the venue and link to a dated snapshot. Before quoting, check three things: how much the market trades, what exactly its rules count, and when you read the price — it can move within minutes.

What a Polymarket price means

Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ reads as a 62% chance. It is what traders were willing to pay at that moment: not a poll, not a forecast by Polymarket and not a guarantee. In our study of 1,918 resolved markets, outcomes priced at 50% or more a week before the close happened 75% of the time — often right, far from certain (how accurate is Polymarket?).

Checklist before you quote a price

Time-stamp it. Write the date (and the time for fast-moving news) next to the number. Every data page on this site shows when it was updated.
Check the volume. Of the 1,092 live markets we track, 26 traded more than $100,000 in the past 24 hours and 939 traded less than $10,000. A thin market can jump on one order.
Read the rules. A market pays out on its own wording and resolution source, which can differ from the headline question; see how Polymarket markets resolve.
Multi-outcome markets. The prices of all outcomes rarely add up to exactly 100%; quote the one you mean, or normalise with the overround calculator.
Say which venue. The same questions on Kalshi were priced 1.2 points apart on average across 216 matched outcomes (price-gap study), so naming the venue matters.

A citation you can copy

Every data page on Polymarket View ends with a Cite this data box in this format:

Polymarket View, “<page title>”, <date>, <page URL> (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

The numbers on our pages and in our free JSON API can be reused under CC BY 4.0 with a credit and a link. You can also embed a live odds card that keeps the number current. Polymarket's own website has its own terms.

Example sentence

Traders on Polymarket put “By March 31” at 78% in “US announces end of Iranian blockade?” as of September 25, 2026 (Polymarket View, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/us-announces-end-of-iranian-blockade/).

Avoid wording such as “Polymarket predicts” or “X will win”: the price is traders' money, not a prediction by the platform.

Where to find the numbers

Polymarket odds today (every live market), 2026 midterm forecast, Fed rate odds by meeting, odds by person, results this week and the glossary for terms such as implied probability.

Frequently asked questions

How do I cite Polymarket odds in an article?

Give the price as a percentage chance, the date (and time for breaking news), Polymarket as the venue and a link to a dated page, for example: Polymarket View, “Fed rate odds for every upcoming FOMC meeting”, September 25, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/fed-rate-odds/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

Are Polymarket odds a prediction?

They are prices traders pay for an outcome, read as probabilities. They are not forecasts made by Polymarket or by this site.

Can I reuse numbers from Polymarket View?

Yes. The numbers on our pages and in our JSON API are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 with a credit to Polymarket View and a link.

Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All guides · How market types work · Glossary · Polymarket odds today