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Resolved market · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 1, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (October 10, 2026 at 16:47 UTC) it had settled on Apple, after $168.1K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 100% | +0.1 pts | $56.7K |
| NVIDIA | 0.0% | — | $44.4K |
| Alphabet | 0.0% | — | $27.4K |
| Microsoft | 0.0% | — | $19.8K |
| Saudi Aramco | 0.0% | — | $7.4K |
| Amazon | 0.0% | — | $6.8K |
| Tesla | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $2.8K |
| Broadcom | 0.0% | — | $2.1K |
| SpaceX | 0.0% | — | $781 |
| Company B | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company C | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company D | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company E | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company F | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company G | 0.0% | — | — |
14 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $168.1K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Apple ■ NVIDIA ■ Alphabet · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: US Economy odds · Big Tech odds
This market has closed. At the last update (October 10, 2026 at 16:47 UTC) it had settled on Apple, after $168.1K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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