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Resolved market · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: October 1, 2026
This market has closed. At the last update (October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Alphabet, after $236.0K of total trading volume.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet | 100% | +0.1 pts | $53.1K |
| Microsoft | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $103.1K |
| Apple | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $31.5K |
| NVIDIA | 0.0% | — | $18.9K |
| SpaceX | 0.0% | — | $16.8K |
| Amazon | 0.0% | — | $5.7K |
| Broadcom | 0.0% | — | $3.3K |
| Tesla | 0.0% | — | $2.2K |
| Saudi Aramco | 0.0% | — | $1.3K |
| Company B | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company C | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company D | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company E | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company F | 0.0% | — | — |
| Company G | 0.0% | — | — |
14 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $236.0K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $0. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Alphabet ■ Microsoft ■ Apple · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: US Economy odds · Big Tech odds
This market has closed. At the last update (October 5, 2026 at 12:50 UTC) it had settled on Alphabet, after $236.0K of total trading volume.
The event's listed end date is October 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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