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Updated September 29, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: March 31, 2027
As of September 29, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Pam Alexis at 8.8%, followed by Kerry-Lynne Findlay at 4.2%, Lakhwinder Jhaj at 0.9%. The market has $125.0K in total volume and $1.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pam Alexis | 8.8% | +2.6 pts | $64.5K |
| Kerry-Lynne Findlay | 4.2% | +1.0 pts | $57.3K |
| Lakhwinder Jhaj | 0.9% | — | $3.2K |
Total volume $125.0K · 24h volume $1.8K · Liquidity $58.7K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Pam Alexis ■ Kerry-Lynne Findlay ■ Lakhwinder Jhaj · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 29, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Pam Alexis at 8.8%, followed by Kerry-Lynne Findlay at 4.2%, Lakhwinder Jhaj at 0.9%. The market has $125.0K in total volume and $1.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 31, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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