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Updated October 21, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: December 21, 2026
As of October 21, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 70+ at 85.7%, followed by 80+ at 77%, 85+ at 45.5%. The market has $20.2K in total volume and $871 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70+ | 85.7% | +0.2 pts | $8.9K |
| 80+ | 77% | — | $5.9K |
| 85+ | 45.5% | -1.5 pts | $1.5K |
| 90+ | 29% | -1.0 pts | $2.2K |
| 95+ | 8.0% | — | $1.7K |
Total volume $20.2K · 24h volume $871 · Liquidity $11.3K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 70+ ■ 80+ ■ 85+ · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Avengers: Doomsday is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on the Monday following the movie's wide theatrical release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified check time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by the Friday of that same week, 11:59 PM ET, or the movie does not release by December 31, 2027.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Movies & Box Office odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 21, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 70+ at 85.7%, followed by 80+ at 77%, 85+ at 45.5%. The market has $20.2K in total volume and $871 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is December 21, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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