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Movies & Box Office Odds on Polymarket
Updated September 23, 2026 · 59 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Movies: opening-weekend box office, release dates and film awards. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live Movies & Box Office markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 43.5% | +6.2 pts | $58.6K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office | 22m+ 52.5% | -14.0 pts | $35.0K | Sep 27, 2026 |
| "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30? | 950 - 960m 99.1% | +0.6 pts | $25.0K | Nov 1, 2026 |
| "Sense and Sensibility" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 60+ 97.3% | — | $8.7K | Oct 19, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner | The Odyssey 48.5% | +4.0 pts | $4.9K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| "Digger" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 60+ 32.6% | -31.6 pts | $4.2K | Oct 10, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner | Julianne Moore 65.5% | -3.0 pts | $4.1K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 93.5% | — | $3.5K | Jan 8, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner | John Malkovich 39.5% | -0.1 pts | $3.1K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| "Heart of the Beast" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 50+ 98.5% | +1.7 pts | $2.8K | Sep 28, 2026 |
| "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office | 14-17m 38.5% | +19.0 pts | $2.7K | Sep 27, 2026 |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 49.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.6K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner | Paul Giamatti 39.5% | -6.5 pts | $1.6K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner | Dune: Part Three 21.5% | — | $1.6K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner | The Odyssey 44% | -1.5 pts | $962 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday? | Hugh Jackman as Wolverine 94.5% | -0.5 pts | $934 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office | <17m 38% | +21.0 pts | $886 | Oct 4, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner | Wildwood 49% | -5.0 pts | $879 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations | Matt Damon 91.3% | -0.1 pts | $810 | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 57.5% | +1.5 pts | $761 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026? | The Odyssey 38.5% | -2.5 pts | $722 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations | The Odyssey 99.8% | — | $665 | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner | The Invite 31.5% | +3.0 pts | $611 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office | 16-19m 31.5% | +9.0 pts | $578 | Sep 27, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner | Anne Hathaway 56.5% | -1.5 pts | $475 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| What will be said during Episode 40 of Big Brother? | Final 87% | +12.5 pts | $449 | Sep 25, 2026 |
| What will be said during the final episode of President Curtis: Season 1? | Monster 86% | +12.5 pts | $303 | Sep 27, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner | The Black Ball 78% | -0.5 pts | $290 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| What will be said during Episode 41 of Big Brother? | Final 86.5% | +12.0 pts | $262 | Sep 27, 2026 |
| "Primetime" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 70+ 97.9% | -0.1 pts | $219 | Oct 3, 2026 |
| "Forgotten Island" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 80+ 98.2% | -0.1 pts | $202 | Sep 28, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Director Winner | Christopher Nolan 56% | +4.5 pts | $116 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 55.5% | -2.0 pts | $114 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released? | By March 31, 2027 5.5% | — | $110 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday? | Loki 78.5% | — | $106 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| What will be said during Episode 39 of Big Brother? | Final 87% | +36.5 pts | $90 | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | The Odyssey 81.5% | — | $57 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner | Wild Horse Nine 40.5% | — | $56 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? | Yes 2.7% | -0.8 pts | $56 | Dec 18, 2026 |
| What will be said during Episode 38 of Big Brother? | Final 75% | — | $50 | Sep 23, 2026 |
19 smaller markets are not shown; all 59 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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More Culture & Entertainment odds
Music (87) · Awards (91) · Celebrities & Creators (79)
Frequently asked questions
What are the Movies & Box Office odds on Polymarket today?
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, Polymarket lists 59 live Movies & Box Office markets with $168.1K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Next James Bond actor? (Jack Lowden 43.5%), followed by "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office (22m+ 52.5%), "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30? (950 - 960m 99.1%).
How many Movies & Box Office markets are open on Polymarket?
59 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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