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Movies & Box Office Odds on Polymarket
Updated November 7, 2026 · 98 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Movies: opening-weekend box office, release dates and film awards. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live Movies & Box Office markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 90.5% | -3.0 pts | $95.3K | Jan 8, 2027 |
| Next James Bond actor? | Callum Turner 34.4% | -6.0 pts | $78.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | 28m-31m 70% | +38.0 pts | $61.3K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office | 9m+ 51.5% | -23.5 pts | $26.9K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office | 18m-20m 61.5% | +46.0 pts | $22.0K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 73.5% | +4.0 pts | $20.2K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released? | By March 31, 2027 5.1% | -0.4 pts | $9.2K | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner | The Odyssey 57.5% | — | $9.1K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| "You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30? | 75-100M 97.7% | +4.7 pts | $8.9K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| "Wildwood" 3rd Weekend Box Office | 6m+ 98.2% | -0.5 pts | $8.3K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (November 10) | The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1 39% | -3.0 pts | $7.4K | Nov 11, 2026 |
| Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 74.5% | +0.5 pts | $7.3K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office | 6m-7m 75.5% | +27.5 pts | $5.3K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office | 400m+ 46.5% | +9.0 pts | $5.1K | Dec 20, 2026 |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 70+ 99.9%+ | +0.1 pts | $3.8K | Nov 9, 2026 |
| What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (November 10) | Nobody Wants This: Season 3 84.7% | +51.7 pts | $3.2K | Nov 11, 2026 |
| Next James Bond announced? | By March 31, 2027 96% | +0.5 pts | $3.2K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| What will be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 10) | A Dog's Perfect Christmas 97% | +9.0 pts | $3.0K | Nov 11, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner | You Can See Everything 63% | +1.0 pts | $2.8K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office | 105m+ 77.3% | +0.4 pts | $2.6K | Nov 22, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations | John Malkovich 94.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.4K | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations | Wildwood 96.8% | -0.7 pts | $2.2K | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations | The Odyssey 97.1% | -0.1 pts | $2.1K | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations | Christopher Nolan 97.2% | +0.1 pts | $2.0K | Mar 15, 2027 |
| "Wild Horse Nine" Rotten Tomatoes Score? | 87+ 99.7% | +0.7 pts | $1.9K | Nov 9, 2026 |
| "Drummer Boy" Opening Weekend Box Office | 9m+ 59% | -18.0 pts | $1.6K | Nov 8, 2026 |
| Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday? | Hugh Jackman as Wolverine 93% | +1.0 pts | $1.3K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner | Julianne Moore 76% | +2.0 pts | $1.3K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations | The Odyssey 88.5% | -2.5 pts | $1.2K | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Who will die in Avengers: Doomsday? | Loki 85.5% | -2.0 pts | $1.1K | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | The Odyssey 85.5% | — | $1.0K | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations | La Nieve - The Black Ball 90.5% | +1.5 pts | $1.0K | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 73% | +1.5 pts | $975 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026? | Obsession 41.5% | +4.0 pts | $975 | Apr 1, 2027 |
| Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Toy Story 5 87% | -2.0 pts | $911 | Feb 1, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations | The Debut 92.2% | — | $898 | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Nominations | Nightfaces 55% | — | $772 | Mar 15, 2027 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner | Anne Hathaway 49% | +4.0 pts | $730 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (November 10) | The Day After Tomorrow 4.0% | -21.0 pts | $722 | Nov 11, 2026 |
| Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations | Anne Hathaway 90.5% | — | $696 | Mar 15, 2027 |
58 smaller markets are not shown; all 98 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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How these markets work: Box office markets · Price range markets.
People in these markets
Tom Holland · Josh O'Connor · Jacob Elordi · Timothée Chalamet · Robert Pattinson · Godzilla Minus Zero · You Can See Everything · Wild Horse Nine · La Bola Negra · I Play Rocky · Disclosure Day · Tom Cruise · Jaafar Jackson · Matt Damon · Andrew Scott
More Culture & Entertainment odds
Music (79) · Awards (113) · Celebrities & Creators (85) · Pop Culture (98)
Frequently asked questions
What are the Movies & Box Office odds on Polymarket today?
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 98 live Movies & Box Office markets with $417.4K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Highest grossing movie in 2026? (Spider-Man: Brand New Day 90.5%), followed by Next James Bond actor? (Callum Turner 34.4%), "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office (28m-31m 70%).
How many Movies & Box Office markets are open on Polymarket?
98 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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Polymarket View, “Movies & Box Office odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/movies/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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