Home › Polymarket odds › Economy & Fed
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: November 4, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 25 bps decrease at 63.5%, followed by No Change at 29.5%, 50+ bps decrease at 2.2%. The market has $26.6K in total volume and $3.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps decrease | 63.5% | -15.0 pts | $6.5K |
| No Change | 29.5% | +10.5 pts | $10.2K |
| 50+ bps decrease | 2.2% | -0.9 pts | $3.5K |
| 25 bps increase | 0.2% | — | $3.4K |
| 50+ bps increase | <0.1% | -0.1 pts | $3.0K |
Total volume $26.6K · 24h volume $3.1K · Liquidity $10.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 25 bps decrease ■ No Change ■ 50+ bps decrease · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the Selic rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Brazil’s Monetary Policy Committee (COPOM), relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Brazil, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 3-4, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar (https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar?categoria=Monetary%20Policy%20Committee%20(Copom)). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Brazil's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Brazil odds · US Economy odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 25 bps decrease at 63.5%, followed by No Change at 29.5%, 50+ bps decrease at 2.2%. The market has $26.6K in total volume and $3.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 4, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Bank of Brazil decision in November? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november/">Bank of Brazil decision in November? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Bank of Brazil decision in November? — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/bank-of-brazil-decision-in-november.svg" alt="Bank of Brazil decision in November? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog