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Updated September 29, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 29, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 86.5% (No 13.5%), with $25.4K traded in total and $615 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 86.5% | -1.5 pts | $25.4K |
| No | 13.5% | +1.5 pts | — |
Total volume $25.4K · 24h volume $615 · Liquidity $284. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Canada odds · US Economy odds
As of September 29, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 86.5% (No 13.5%), with $25.4K traded in total and $615 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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