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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 3.1% (No 96.9%), with $61.8K traded in total and $5.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.1% | -0.1 pts | $61.8K |
| No | 96.9% | +0.1 pts | — |
Total volume $61.8K · 24h volume $5.9K · Liquidity $28.1K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Yes ■ No · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the results of the October 25 Brazilian presidential runoff election are annulled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The results of this election will be considered annulled if they are formally declared invalid by the Brazil Tribunal Superior Eleitoral or another official body of the government of Brazil with the legal jurisdiction to do so.
If an official body of the government of Brazil with legal jurisdiction to rule on this matter has formally accepted a case seeking annulment of this election and no ruling has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) the public announcement of a ruling or (ii) June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the first qualifying ruling issued that annuls this election. Subsequent appeals or challenges will not be considered.
The resolution sources will be official information from the government of Brazil and a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes at 3.1% (No 96.9%), with $61.8K traded in total and $5.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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