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Updated September 26, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 19, 2027
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is 3.0-3.4% at 36.2%, followed by 3.5-3.9% at 30.4%, 2.5–2.9% at 17.1%. The market has $47.4K in total volume and $4.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.4% | 36.2% | — | $14.4K |
| 3.5-3.9% | 30.4% | +15.6 pts | $5.7K |
| 2.5–2.9% | 17.1% | -18.7 pts | $13.6K |
| 2.0–2.4% | 8.6% | -1.1 pts | $2.7K |
| 4.0%+ | 6.0% | +5.0 pts | $641 |
| 1.0–1.4% | 1.6% | -1.4 pts | $5.5K |
| <1.0% | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $1.2K |
| 1.5–1.9% | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $3.5K |
Total volume $47.4K · 24h volume $4.8K · Liquidity $12.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 3.0-3.4% ■ 3.5-3.9% ■ 2.5–2.9% · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release, which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Canada odds · Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of September 26, 2026 at 02:04 UTC, the leading outcome is 3.0-3.4% at 36.2%, followed by 3.5-3.9% at 30.4%, 2.5–2.9% at 17.1%. The market has $47.4K in total volume and $4.8K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 19, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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