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Updated September 27, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2027 at 82.2%, followed by By September 30, 2027 at 70.5%, By June 30, 2027 at 38%. The market has $41.3K in total volume and $607 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2027 | 82.2% | +1.4 pts | $4.5K |
| By September 30, 2027 | 70.5% | — | $7.7K |
| By June 30, 2027 | 38% | -14.5 pts | $6.6K |
| By March 31, 2027 | 7.5% | — | $14.8K |
| By December 31, 2026 | 2.5% | +0.3 pts | $7.6K |
Total volume $41.3K · 24h volume $607 · Liquidity $6.2K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2027 ■ By September 30, 2027 ■ By June 30, 2027 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 27, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2027 at 82.2%, followed by By September 30, 2027 at 70.5%, By June 30, 2027 at 38%. The market has $41.3K in total volume and $607 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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