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Updated November 12, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 1, 2028
As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2027 at 68.7%, followed by By June 30, 2027 at 44.5%, By September 30, 2027 at 41.5%. The market has $62.1K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2027 | 68.7% | +0.1 pts | $11.3K |
| By June 30, 2027 | 44.5% | -2.0 pts | $8.6K |
| By September 30, 2027 | 41.5% | -0.5 pts | $12.1K |
| By March 31, 2027 | 22% | — | $16.9K |
| By December 31, 2026 | 1.8% | — | $13.2K |
Total volume $62.1K · 24h volume $0 · Liquidity $6.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2027 ■ By June 30, 2027 ■ By September 30, 2027 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of November 12, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2027 at 68.7%, followed by By June 30, 2027 at 44.5%, By September 30, 2027 at 41.5%. The market has $62.1K in total volume and $0 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2028. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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