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IPOs Odds on Polymarket
Updated November 7, 2026 · 96 live markets · refreshed twice a day
Upcoming IPOs: which companies go public, when, and at what valuation. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.
Live IPOs markets
| Market | Leading outcome | 24h change | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|
| Anthropic IPO by __? | December 31, 2026 87.4% | +14.3 pts | $210.0K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 31.1% | +10.0 pts | $182.0K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 87.5% | -1.0 pts | $96.9K | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$1.5T 75.1% | -4.0 pts | $37.2K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) | 1.8T+ 31.5% | -5.5 pts | $23.5K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| In which month will Anthropic IPO? | November 2026 76.8% | +20.0 pts | $12.8K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 20 21.5% | +5.0 pts | $9.9K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets) | 600B+ 97% | +0.7 pts | $6.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? | $1.50–$1.75T 45.8% | +22.5 pts | $6.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| IPOs before 2027? | Anthropic 89% | +14.5 pts | $5.4K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO? | $75B to $85B 39.2% | +0.7 pts | $5.4K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| What % of Anthropic will be sold in its IPO? | 5% to 6% 31.5% | +6.0 pts | $4.3K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? | Yes 71.5% | -14.0 pts | $3.2K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↓$1.275T 38.5% | +16.5 pts | $2.9K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ? | $1.5T 55.9% | -9.8 pts | $2.9K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? | <$1T 28.1% | -0.2 pts | $2.8K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | Yes 70.5% | -4.5 pts | $2.3K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$200B 45.5% | -15.5 pts | $2.3K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap | 1.5T+ 32.6% | -1.6 pts | $1.8K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Discord IPO Closing Market Cap | No IPO by December 31, 2027 76.3% | +8.2 pts | $1.7K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$22.5B 99.8% | +6.8 pts | $1.5K | Jan 1, 2027 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↑$1.3T 55.5% | -16.0 pts | $1.5K | Jan 5, 2027 |
| OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026? | $1.30T+ 73% | -9.0 pts | $1.3K | Nov 30, 2026 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↓$8.3B 43% | -4.5 pts | $1.2K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO? | Goldman Sachs 91% | — | $1.1K | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↑$198B 45.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.1K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↑$28B 50% | +2.5 pts | $1.0K | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↓$1.15T 49.5% | -1.5 pts | $953 | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↑$610B 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $845 | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | Anthropic 82% | -0.5 pts | $750 | Jan 5, 2027 |
| Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day? | Yes 76% | -4.5 pts | $705 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↓$116B 49.5% | +19.0 pts | $598 | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↑$205B 48% | -2.0 pts | $515 | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31? | ↓$5.5B 65.5% | +2.0 pts | $505 | Jan 2, 2027 |
| Will Glean's valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↓$5.85B 61% | -14.0 pts | $477 | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit __ by November 30? | ↓$109B 51% | +4.5 pts | $474 | Dec 1, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO by ___ ? | December 31, 2027 63.5% | +1.0 pts | $459 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? | $800B 73% | -0.4 pts | $415 | Jan 1, 2028 |
| OpenAI IPO? | By June 30, 2027 45.5% | — | $398 | Jul 1, 2027 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above ___ ? | $26B 6.3% | +2.6 pts | $323 | Jan 1, 2027 |
56 smaller markets are not shown; all 96 are in the JSON data.
For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.
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How these markets work: Long-dated markets.
People in these markets
Morgan Stanley
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Frequently asked questions
What are the IPOs odds on Polymarket today?
As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 96 live IPOs markets with $637.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Anthropic IPO by __? (December 31, 2026 87.4%), followed by Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap ($1.25–$1.5T 31.1%), Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? (SpaceX 87.5%).
How many IPOs markets are open on Polymarket?
96 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.
Where do these odds come from?
From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.
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Polymarket View, “IPOs odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/ipos/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
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