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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 20, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 3.1%+ at 90.2%, followed by 2.8-3.0% at 3.9%, 1.0–1.2% at 3.9%. The market has $116.8K in total volume and $389 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.1%+ | 90.2% | -0.4 pts | $17.2K |
| 2.8-3.0% | 3.9% | -0.2 pts | $18.0K |
| 1.0–1.2% | 3.9% | +0.6 pts | $16.5K |
| 2.5–2.7% | 2.4% | +0.1 pts | $8.0K |
| 1.6–1.8% | 1.8% | +0.6 pts | $3.7K |
| 2.2–2.4% | 1.4% | +0.1 pts | $5.4K |
| 1.9–2.1% | 1.2% | -0.1 pts | $26.2K |
| 1.3–1.5% | 0.4% | — | $16.5K |
| <1.0% | 0.1% | — | $5.2K |
Total volume $116.8K · 24h volume $389 · Liquidity $38.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 3.1%+ ■ 2.8-3.0% ■ 1.0–1.2% · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 3.1%+ at 90.2%, followed by 2.8-3.0% at 3.9%, 1.0–1.2% at 3.9%. The market has $116.8K in total volume and $389 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 20, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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