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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: November 1, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is $3.00+ at 48.5%, followed by $2.75-$3.00 at 29%, $2.50-$2.75 at 16.5%. The market has $21.4K in total volume and $562 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $3.00+ | 48.5% | +13.0 pts | $6.5K |
| $2.75-$3.00 | 29% | -2.5 pts | $4.1K |
| $2.50-$2.75 | 16.5% | -11.0 pts | $6.5K |
| <$2.00 | 5.1% | +0.9 pts | $1.3K |
| $2.25-$2.50 | 3.6% | -0.7 pts | $1.9K |
| $2.00-$2.25 | 3.3% | +0.1 pts | $943 |
Total volume $21.4K · 24h volume $562 · Liquidity $2.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ $3.00+ ■ $2.75-$3.00 ■ $2.50-$2.75 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
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As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is $3.00+ at 48.5%, followed by $2.75-$3.00 at 29%, $2.50-$2.75 at 16.5%. The market has $21.4K in total volume and $562 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 1, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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