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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Sagal Abdi-Wali at 84.5%, followed by Zack Polanski at 12.5%, Andrew Feinstein at <0.1%. The market has $60.5K in total volume and $351 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sagal Abdi-Wali | 84.5% | +1.0 pts | $20.5K |
| Zack Polanski | 12.5% | +0.5 pts | $25.1K |
| Andrew Feinstein | <0.1% | — | $3.5K |
| Georgia Gould | <0.1% | — | $1.3K |
| David Roberts | <0.1% | — | $831 |
| Hamza Chowdhury | <0.1% | — | $813 |
| Richard Olszewski | <0.1% | — | $644 |
| James White | <0.1% | — | $611 |
| Sarah Hayward | <0.1% | — | $606 |
| Keith Moffitt | <0.1% | — | $519 |
| Gio Spinella | <0.1% | — | $508 |
| Pat Callaghan | <0.1% | — | $505 |
| Tricia Leman | <0.1% | — | $505 |
| Charlie Clinton | <0.1% | — | $505 |
| Luisa Porritt | <0.1% | — | $496 |
8 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $60.5K · 24h volume $351 · Liquidity $261.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Sagal Abdi-Wali ■ Zack Polanski ■ Andrew Feinstein · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · United Kingdom odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Sagal Abdi-Wali at 84.5%, followed by Zack Polanski at 12.5%, Andrew Feinstein at <0.1%. The market has $60.5K in total volume and $351 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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