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United Kingdom Odds on Polymarket

Updated November 7, 2026 · 23 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 23 live United Kingdom markets with $14.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is BBC Sports Personality of the Year Winner 2026 (Harry Kane 77.5%), followed by October Inflation UK - Annual (3.7-3.9% 35.5%), How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? (6 86.5%).

UK politics: the prime minister, the parties and elections. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live United Kingdom markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
BBC Sports Personality of the Year Winner 2026Harry Kane 77.5%+3.0 pts$7.7KJan 1, 2027
October Inflation UK - Annual3.7-3.9% 35.5%-9.0 pts$2.1KNov 18, 2026
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?6 86.5%-3.0 pts$1.9KJan 1, 2027
Andrew Tate released from custody?By December 31 5.0%-1.5 pts$1.5KJan 1, 2027
U.K. Annual Inflation 20263.5–3.9% 55.4%-0.5 pts$555Jan 21, 2027
Turner Prize 2026 WinnerSimeon Barclay 34%+2.0 pts$408Apr 1, 2027
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?2 89.5%—$106Jan 1, 2028
Faber brings Rooney books back to UK by…?March 31, 2027 50.5%+0.5 pts$104Apr 1, 2027
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?0.6–0.7% 55%+5.7 pts$79Nov 13, 2026
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes 2.7%-0.2 pts$71Jan 1, 2027
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Defence 74%—$61Nov 12, 2026
European military action against Iran?By December 31 7.2%+1.6 pts$59Dec 31, 2026
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader?By March 31 22%—$42Dec 31, 2026
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader?By March 31, 2027 20%—$28Apr 1, 2027
UK election called?By June 30, 2027 26%—$0Jul 1, 2027
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?Pat McFadden 12.2%+5.1 pts$0Jan 1, 2028
Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026?↓1.30 53.5%-0.5 pts$0Dec 31, 2026
UK social media ban in effect by…?June 30, 2027 65%—$0Jul 1, 2027
Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?Yes 3.1%—$0Jan 1, 2027
Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?Yes 20.5%—$0Jan 1, 2028
Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?Yes 5.3%-0.8 pts$0Dec 31, 2026
Jonathan Powell out as UK National Security Adviser?By December 31 47.5%+2.5 pts$0Jan 1, 2027
Next UK by-election called by…?December 31 24.5%-1.0 pts$0Jan 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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More Politics & Elections odds

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Frequently asked questions

What are the United Kingdom odds on Polymarket today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 12:50 UTC, Polymarket lists 23 live United Kingdom markets with $14.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is BBC Sports Personality of the Year Winner 2026 (Harry Kane 77.5%), followed by October Inflation UK - Annual (3.7-3.9% 35.5%), How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? (6 86.5%).

How many United Kingdom markets are open on Polymarket?

23 live markets as of November 7, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Polymarket View, “United Kingdom odds on Polymarket”, November 7, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/uk/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).

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