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United Kingdom Odds on Polymarket

Updated September 23, 2026 · 22 live markets · refreshed twice a day

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 22 live United Kingdom markets with $5.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Andrew Tate released from custody? (By December 31 8.5%), followed by What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? (-No Qualifying Event- 98.9%), UK election called? (By June 30, 2027 26.5%).

UK politics: the prime minister, the parties and elections. Every live market on the topic is below, with the leading outcome's probability, its 24-hour change, trading volume and end date.

Live United Kingdom markets

MarketLeading outcome24h change24h volumeEnds
Andrew Tate released from custody?By December 31 8.5%$1.8KJan 1, 2027
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?-No Qualifying Event- 98.9%-0.1 pts$981Sep 30, 2026
UK election called?By June 30, 2027 26.5%-6.5 pts$779Jul 1, 2027
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election WinnerSagal Abdi-Wali 83.5%-5.5 pts$595Jul 1, 2027
U.K. Annual Inflation 20263.5–3.9% 43.6%+1.4 pts$384Jan 21, 2027
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of VictoryLabour 15%+ 37.5%-3.0 pts$255Oct 8, 2026
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?2 86.5%$142Jan 1, 2028
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?John Healey 13.5%$120Jan 1, 2028
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?25-30% 24%+1.5 pts$61Oct 8, 2026
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?6 71.5%$52Jan 1, 2027
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Alfred Cannan 28.5%-1.5 pts$29Aug 1, 2027
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?35-40% 29%-0.5 pts$20Oct 8, 2026
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes 2.5%-0.1 pts$11Jan 1, 2027
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?0.4–0.5% 39.5%$4Nov 13, 2026
European military action against Iran?By December 31 7.5%$0Dec 31, 2026
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader?By March 31, 2027 27.5%$0Apr 1, 2027
Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026?↓1.30 50%+1.5 pts$0Dec 31, 2026
Turner Prize 2026 WinnerTanoa Sasraku 34%-0.5 pts$0Apr 1, 2027
September Inflation UK - Annual3.4-3.6% 58.5%$0Oct 21, 2026
UK social media ban in effect by…?June 30, 2027 40.5%+0.5 pts$0Jul 1, 2027
Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader?By December 31 13%$0Dec 31, 2026
Next UK by-election called by…?December 31 39.5%+3.0 pts$0Jan 1, 2027

For multi-outcome markets the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for yes/no markets it is the YES price. Prices are Polymarket share prices read as probabilities, not executable quotes.

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More Politics & Elections odds

Trump (110) · 2028 Presidential Election (99) · 2026 Midterms (296) · Senate Races (128) · Governor Races (88) · House Races (100) · Supreme Court (32) · World Elections (168) · Brazil (100) · France (36) · Germany (22) · Canada (99)

Frequently asked questions

What are the United Kingdom odds on Polymarket today?

As of September 23, 2026 at 15:42 UTC, Polymarket lists 22 live United Kingdom markets with $5.2K traded in the last 24 hours. The most active is Andrew Tate released from custody? (By December 31 8.5%), followed by What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? (-No Qualifying Event- 98.9%), UK election called? (By June 30, 2027 26.5%).

How many United Kingdom markets are open on Polymarket?

22 live markets as of September 23, 2026, not counting single games and markets that close within a few hours. The table lists them by 24-hour trading volume and refreshes twice a day.

Where do these odds come from?

From Polymarket's public market data. Each probability is the displayed price of an outcome's YES share, so 60¢ reads as roughly a 60% chance. Polymarket View is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket; nothing here is financial advice.

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Free JSON

/api/v1/topics/uk.json — every live market on the topic, CC BY 4.0 (credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link). See the developer docs.

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