Home › Polymarket odds › Other markets
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Other markets · Market end date: July 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 8 at 38.5%, followed by Greater than 8 at 35%, 7 at 22.9%. The market has $59.1K in total volume and $503 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 38.5% | — | $13.4K |
| Greater than 8 | 35% | +2.0 pts | $27.4K |
| 7 | 22.9% | -7.5 pts | $7.0K |
| 5 | <0.1% | — | $5.3K |
| 6 | <0.1% | — | $3.9K |
| Fewer than 5 | <0.1% | — | $2.1K |
Total volume $59.1K · 24h volume $503 · Liquidity $11.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 8 ■ Greater than 8 ■ 7 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
This market will resolve based on the total number of tropical cyclones recorded making landfall in China during the calendar year 2026 as published on the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) Tropical Cyclone Data Center "Landfalling TCs" page (https://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/en/dlrdqx.html) in the annual Best Track Dataset update for 2026.
All landfalling tropical cyclones listed by the CMA on that page count toward the total, regardless of their intensity category at landfall (tropical depression, tropical storm, severe tropical storm, typhoon, severe typhoon, or super typhoon). What constitutes a landfall in China (including which mainland and island locations qualify) is determined solely by the CMA's records on that page. Each tropical cyclone is counted once toward the total, regardless of how many separate times it makes landfall.
One bracket will resolve "Yes" and all others "No".
If the CMA "Landfalling TCs" page is inaccessible or the 2026 Best Track Dataset has not been updated by June 30, 2027, resolution will instead be based on the number of tropical cyclones reported by China as making landfall for the 2026 season - counted on the same all-intensity basis - in the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee Annual Session final report for the 2026 season (https://www.typhooncommittee.org).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Weather odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 8 at 38.5%, followed by Greater than 8 at 35%, 7 at 22.9%. The market has $59.1K in total volume and $503 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is July 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/how-many-tropical-cyclones-will-make-landfall-in-china-during-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-tropical-cyclones-will-make-landfall-in-china-during-2026/">How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/how-many-tropical-cyclones-will-make-landfall-in-china-during-2026.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-tropical-cyclones-will-make-landfall-in-china-during-2026/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-tropical-cyclones-will-make-landfall-in-china-during-2026/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/how-many-tropical-cyclones-will-make-landfall-in-china-during-2026/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/how-many-tropical-cyclones-will-make-landfall-in-china-during-2026.svg" alt="How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog