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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Economy & Fed · Market end date: January 13, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 4.50%+ at 88.5%, followed by 3.75% to 4.49% at 4.2%, 1.50% to 2.24% at 3.9%. The market has $91.0K in total volume and $1.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50%+ | 88.5% | — | $20.9K |
| 3.75% to 4.49% | 4.2% | +0.6 pts | $32.1K |
| 1.50% to 2.24% | 3.9% | +1.4 pts | $3.9K |
| <0.75% | 2.2% | +1.1 pts | $3.0K |
| 3.00% to 3.74% | 0.8% | +0.1 pts | $2.7K |
| 2.25% to 2.99% | 0.7% | -0.9 pts | $26.3K |
| 0.75% to 1.49% | 0.5% | -0.9 pts | $2.0K |
Total volume $91.0K · 24h volume $1.0K · Liquidity $12.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 4.50%+ ■ 3.75% to 4.49% ■ 1.50% to 2.24% · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Inflation & CPI odds · US Economy odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is 4.50%+ at 88.5%, followed by 3.75% to 4.49% at 4.2%, 1.50% to 2.24% at 3.9%. The market has $91.0K in total volume and $1.0K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 13, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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