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Updated October 18, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 27, 2026
As of October 18, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 22-23 at 40.5%, followed by 28-29 at 22.7%, 20-21 at 21%. The market has $20.3K in total volume and $536 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22-23 | 40.5% | +12.0 pts | $2.8K |
| 28-29 | 22.7% | +20.2 pts | $819 |
| 20-21 | 21% | -6.5 pts | $3.7K |
| 24-25 | 17% | +2.5 pts | $1.7K |
| <20 | 14.4% | -1.4 pts | $1.3K |
| 26-27 | 14% | -4.0 pts | $3.0K |
| 30+ | 9.1% | +3.0 pts | $7.1K |
Total volume $20.3K · 24h volume $536 · Liquidity $30.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ 22-23 ■ 28-29 ■ 20-21 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Israel odds · Middle East odds · Politics odds
As of October 18, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is 22-23 at 40.5%, followed by 28-29 at 22.7%, 20-21 at 21%. The market has $20.3K in total volume and $536 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 27, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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