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Updated October 25, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: August 1, 2027
As of October 25, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Armenia at 88.5%, followed by Spain at <0.1%. The market has $152.4K in total volume and $138.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Armenia | 88.5% | +45.5 pts | $3.5K |
| Spain | <0.1% | -24.9 pts | $11.9K |
| Azerbaijan (settled) | 0.0% | -1.0 pts | $12.5K |
| San Marino (settled) | 0.0% | -3.5 pts | $12.3K |
| Croatia (settled) | 0.0% | -2.1 pts | $12.0K |
| Portugal (settled) | 0.0% | -1.4 pts | $11.9K |
| France (settled) | 0.0% | -13.1 pts | $11.7K |
| North Macedonia (settled) | 0.0% | -8.8 pts | $11.6K |
| Italy (settled) | 0.0% | -1.1 pts | $11.6K |
| Montenegro (settled) | 0.0% | -1.8 pts | $11.6K |
| Cyprus (settled) | 0.0% | -4.0 pts | $11.5K |
| Malta (settled) | 0.0% | -21.9 pts | $11.5K |
| Ireland (settled) | 0.0% | -14.3 pts | $11.4K |
| Ukraine (settled) | 0.0% | -16.0 pts | $2.8K |
| Albania (settled) | 0.0% | -0.8 pts | $1.7K |
19 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $152.4K · 24h volume $138.9K · Liquidity $40.4K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Armenia ■ Spain · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Music odds · Pop Culture odds
As of October 25, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Armenia at 88.5%, followed by Spain at <0.1%. The market has $152.4K in total volume and $138.9K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is August 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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