Home › Polymarket odds › Culture & Entertainment
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Culture & Entertainment · Market end date: March 15, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Matt Damon at 91.6%, followed by John Malkovich at 91%, Andrew Scott at 83.5%. The market has $48.1K in total volume and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Damon | 91.6% | +0.3 pts | $3.5K |
| John Malkovich | 91% | +3.5 pts | $555 |
| Andrew Scott | 83.5% | — | $8.7K |
| Robert Pattinson | 60% | -4.0 pts | $1.9K |
| Tom Cruise | 50% | +9.0 pts | $7.2K |
| Ryan Gosling | 36.5% | — | $5.9K |
| Pedro Pascal | 27.9% | +5.6 pts | $1.4K |
| Timothée Chalamet | 26.5% | — | $7.1K |
| Sebastian Stan | 26.5% | — | $1.7K |
| John Turturro | 23.5% | — | $1.7K |
| Adam Driver | 15.5% | +3.5 pts | $113 |
| Jaafar Jackson | 13.5% | -5.5 pts | $535 |
| Jeremy Strong | 10.5% | — | $3.8K |
| Robert Aramayo | 9.3% | +0.1 pts | $476 |
| Sam Rockwell | 6.0% | — | $960 |
3 lower-priced outcomes are not shown; the full list is in the JSON data.
Total volume $48.1K · 24h volume $1.1K · Liquidity $14.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Matt Damon ■ John Malkovich ■ Andrew Scott · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Movies & Box Office odds · Awards odds · Pop Culture odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Matt Damon at 91.6%, followed by John Malkovich at 91%, Andrew Scott at 83.5%. The market has $48.1K in total volume and $1.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is March 15, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892/">Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/oscars-2026-best-actor-nominations-892.svg" alt="Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog