Home › Polymarket odds › Politics & Elections
Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: October 11, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 26.5%, followed by By September 30, 2026 at 0.2%. The market has $355.7K in total volume and $155 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31, 2026 | 26.5% | — | $20.0K |
| By September 30, 2026 | 0.2% | -0.2 pts | $9.2K |
| By October 31 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.2 pts | $159.1K |
| By December 31, 2025 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $129.2K |
| By June 30, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $26.6K |
| By August 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $5.2K |
| By November 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $5.2K |
| By July 31, 2026 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $1.2K |
Total volume $355.7K · 24h volume $155 · Liquidity $15.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31, 2026 ■ By September 30, 2026 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
🔔 Get alerts when big markets move — free Telegram watchlist
On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: France odds · Politics odds · Geopolitics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31, 2026 at 26.5%, followed by By September 30, 2026 at 0.2%. The market has $355.7K in total volume and $155 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is October 11, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
Paste this on your site, blog or newsletter. It updates with our page. How to embed
<iframe src="https://polymarkettrader.com/embed/odds/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Lecornu out as French PM? odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/">Lecornu out as French PM? odds</a> via <a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/">PolymarketTrader</a></p>
/api/v1/odds/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381.json — CC BY 4.0, credit “PolymarketTrader” with a link. See the developer docs.
Polymarket View, “Lecornu out as French PM? — Polymarket odds”, September 24, 2026, https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/ (data: Polymarket, CC BY 4.0).
For READMEs, newsletters and forums. Markdown:
[](https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/)
HTML:
<a href="https://polymarkettrader.com/odds/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381/"><img src="https://polymarkettrader.com/badge/odds/lecornu-out-as-french-pm-by-381.svg" alt="Lecornu out as French PM? odds on Polymarket" width="400" height="64"></a>
Polymarket View is an independent research site, not affiliated with Polymarket. Educational information, not financial advice. All Polymarket odds · Event hubs · Blog