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Updated September 23, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2027
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 50.5%. The market has $124.40M in total volume and $597 in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| By December 31 | 50.5% | — | $2.55M |
| By March 31 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $104.21M |
| By April 30 (settled) | 0.0% | -0.1 pts | $9.58M |
| By June 30 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $6.92M |
| By May 31 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $821.1K |
| By July 31 (settled) | 0.0% | — | $332.1K |
Total volume $124.40M · 24h volume $597 · Liquidity $63.9K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ By December 31 · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will resign as Prime Minister of Israel, or otherwise steps down from/is removed from this position by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation or removal before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: Israel odds · Middle East odds
As of September 23, 2026 at 15:49 UTC, the leading outcome is By December 31 at 50.5%. The market has $124.40M in total volume and $597 in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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