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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: November 29, 2026
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Lee Shu-chuan at 74%, followed by Su Chiao-hui at 26.5%, Huang Kuo-chang at <0.1%. The market has $29.2K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Shu-chuan | 74% | +0.5 pts | $12.0K |
| Su Chiao-hui | 26.5% | +3.5 pts | $15.9K |
| Huang Kuo-chang | <0.1% | — | $1.3K |
Total volume $29.2K · 24h volume $1.2K · Liquidity $24.5K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Lee Shu-chuan ■ Su Chiao-hui ■ Huang Kuo-chang · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · China & Taiwan odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 17:11 UTC, the leading outcome is Lee Shu-chuan at 74%, followed by Su Chiao-hui at 26.5%, Huang Kuo-chang at <0.1%. The market has $29.2K in total volume and $1.2K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is November 29, 2026. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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