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Updated September 24, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: June 1, 2027
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Elif Eralp at 67.5%, followed by Stefan Evers at 29.5%, Werner Graf at 1.5%. The market has $196.3K in total volume and $2.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elif Eralp | 67.5% | +1.0 pts | $123.0K |
| Stefan Evers | 29.5% | -4.5 pts | $45.0K |
| Werner Graf | 1.5% | +0.7 pts | $19.9K |
| Steffen Krach | 0.4% | — | $5.6K |
| Kristin Brinker | <0.1% | — | $2.8K |
Total volume $196.3K · 24h volume $2.1K · Liquidity $45.6K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ Elif Eralp ■ Stefan Evers ■ Werner Graf · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Germany odds · Politics odds
As of September 24, 2026 at 15:51 UTC, the leading outcome is Elif Eralp at 67.5%, followed by Stefan Evers at 29.5%, Werner Graf at 1.5%. The market has $196.3K in total volume and $2.1K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is June 1, 2027. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarised on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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