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Updated November 7, 2026 · Category: Politics & Elections · Market end date: January 1, 2030
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is María Corina Machado at 68.5%, followed by Delcy Rodríguez at 16.5%, Jorge Rodríguez at 5.6%. The market has $70.7K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| María Corina Machado | 68.5% | +1.5 pts | $43.9K |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 16.5% | +6.0 pts | $13.6K |
| Jorge Rodríguez | 5.6% | +0.1 pts | $1.0K |
| Donald Trump | 2.8% | — | $2.1K |
| Manuel Rosales | 2.6% | — | $281 |
| Marco Rubio | 2.4% | -0.2 pts | $592 |
| Henrique Capriles | 1.9% | -0.4 pts | $415 |
| Edmundo González | 1.2% | -0.1 pts | $4.9K |
| Diosdado Cabello | 1.1% | — | $3.0K |
| Nicolás Maduro | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $773 |
Total volume $70.7K · 24h volume $2.6K · Liquidity $119.0K. Prices are Polymarket YES-share prices read as probabilities; they are not executable quotes.
■ María Corina Machado ■ Delcy Rodríguez ■ Jorge Rodríguez · 30-day price history (12-hour points)
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This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election.
If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.
Summary of the market's published rules. The rules on Polymarket control settlement; check them there before relying on any outcome: open this market on Polymarket.
More odds by topic: World Elections odds · Venezuela odds · Politics odds
As of November 7, 2026 at 00:50 UTC, the leading outcome is María Corina Machado at 68.5%, followed by Delcy Rodríguez at 16.5%, Jorge Rodríguez at 5.6%. The market has $70.7K in total volume and $2.6K in the last 24 hours.
The event's listed end date is January 1, 2030. Each outcome settles under the market's written rules, summarized on this page, which can differ from the end-date field.
They are the displayed prices of each outcome's YES share on Polymarket. A price of 60¢ implies roughly a 60% chance. This page refreshes the numbers twice a day, so they are not live quotes.
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